Banner Orientation Reg Status = Y, excluding declined/cancelled · as of 7.20.26 · 8:00 AM CT
Freshman: 260 · Transfer: 126 · Readmit: 20 · High School: 0 · (35 Lost registrants removed)
Total New FTF Housing Deposits
368
New First Time Freshman housing deposits · as of 7.19.26
All housing deposits (total): 1,093 · Continuing Freshman Resident: 225 · New Transfers: 42
Total ITE FAFSAs on File
810
70.3% of 1,153 ITE students · as of 7.20.26 · 8:00 AM CT
2,340 total FAFSAs on file · 49.8% of admitted pool
Fall Applicant-to-Enrollment Funnel — Year-to-Date
YTD Through June 12
Each cycle measured through its own June 12 checkpoint · same-date year-over-year pace
Cycle
Applied
Admitted
ITE YTD
ITE YoY
Status
Final FTF ITE Count
Census NEW FTF Count
Final FTF ITE Conversion Rate
Fall 2022
6,189
4,701
424
—
Snapshot · 6/12
423
350
82.7%
Fall 2023
7,986
6,135
577
+153+36.1%
Snapshot · 6/12
521
347
66.6%
Fall 2024
8,604
6,431
643
+66+11.4%
Snapshot · 6/12
600
423
70.5%
Fall 2025
13,657
10,188
605
−38−5.9%
Snapshot · 6/12
534
360
67.4%
Fall 2026 ★
7,590
4,701
1,153
+548+90.6%
Sprint Active
— active
—
—
ITE YTD = App-Applicant Response = "Enrolled" OR "Intends to Enroll," counted through each cycle's June 12. ITE YoY = change vs. prior cycle at the same June 12 point. Final FTF ITE Count = full-cycle count of First-Time Freshman (FTF) applicants with App-Applicant Response = "Enrolled" OR "Intends to Enroll" for that year (all terms, full extract — no date cutoff). Census NEW FTF Count = official first-time-freshman enrollment at fall census. Final FTF ITE Conversion Rate = Census NEW FTF ÷ Final FTF ITE Count.
★ At this checkpoint, Fall 2026 leads every prior cycle — +548 ITE over 2025 and +510 over the best prior year — on roughly 6,500 fewer applications.
Method: Fall 2022–2025 bounded by App-Date Applied (funnel) and App-Applicant Response Date (ITE) on or before June 12 of each cycle. Fall 2026 reflects the June 15 live extract. Census NEW FTF Count, Final FTF ITE Count, and Final FTF ITE Conversion Rate for Fall 2026 are pending cycle completion.
ITE-to-Census Yield Planning — by Segment
How many committed students (ITE) are needed to land each Fall 2026 census target, using each segment's historical conversion rate. ITE Needed = Target ÷ Conversion Rate. FTF, Transfer & Readmit on official census basis (ECSU Factbooks & Enrollment Profile); MVA on funnel realized yield · updated July 20, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT.
First Time Freshman (FTF)
71.8%conv. rate
Official census NEW FTF ÷ Freshman ITE · 4-yr avg (2022–2025) · Factbook/IERP
Census target450
ITE needed627
Current F26 ITE549
Gap to target+78 ITE
At 549 ITE today, projected census ≈ 394.
Transfer
88.7%conv. rate
Official census new Transfers ÷ Transfer ITE · 3-yr avg (2022–2024) · Factbook
Census target250
ITE needed282
Current F26 ITE339
Gap to targetMet ✓ (+57)
At 339 ITE today, projected census ≈ 301 (≥ 250 target).
Readmit
65.0%conv. rate
Official census "Returning" ÷ Readmit ITE · 3-yr avg (2022–2024) · Factbook
Census target80
ITE needed123
Current F26 ITE120
Gap to target+3 ITE
At 120 ITE today, projected census ≈ 78. Readmit melt is material — census runs well below funnel commits.
Military/Veteran Affiliated (MVA)
89.8%conv. rate
Funnel realized yield (Enrolled ÷ ITE) · 4-yr avg (2022–2025) · no official entry-type census
Census target150
ITE needed167
Current F26 ITE76
Gap to target+91 ITE
New/Transfer MVA target. At 76 ITE today, projected census ≈ 68.
Basis: FTF, Transfer, and Readmit use official census counts from the ECSU Factbook "Enrollment Detail by Fall by Student Type" (FTF Fall 2025 from the Enrollment Profile / IERP) divided by full-cycle ITE — FTF is a 4-yr avg (2022–2025); Transfer and Readmit are 3-yr avg (2022–2024, the latest years published by entry type). "Readmit" maps to the Factbook "Returning" category. MVA (military/veteran-affiliated = Military Dependent or Veteran) is not an official entry type, so it uses the funnel realized yield (Enrolled ÷ ITE, 4-yr avg 2022–2025 = 89.8%). Targets per the Fall 2026 New Student Demand plan. Sources: ECSU Factbooks 2022-23 / 2023-24 / 2024-25, Enrollment Profile (IERP), app_funnel_7_20_26.
ITE Pace at June 12 — Five-Year Comparison
Commitments (Enrolled + Intends to Enroll) recorded by June 12 of each cycle
1,153 Total · 814 Enrolled · 339 Intent · July 20, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT
Of 1,153 committed students, 814 have Enrolled (App-Applicant Response = "Enrolled"; have a class schedule) and 339 have expressed Intent to Enroll (App-Applicant Response = "Intends to Enroll"). Transfer students carry the highest melt risk at 41.9% intent-only. High School dual enrollees are the most enrollment-confirmed pipeline at 95.2%.
ITE (Enrolled + Intent to Enroll) — Breakdown by Student Type
Enrolled (has class schedule)Intent to EnrollGap to F26 Target
Melt Target = ITE needed to land the census goal at each segment's historical yield (from ITE-to-Census Yield Planning: FTF 627, Transfer 282, Readmit 123). “vs melt” = current ITE − Melt Target — the real gap once melt is factored in. HS/Certificate/Special have no census yield rate, so gap stays vs. their planning target.
ReadmitMelt Target: 123Current ITE: 120Census Target: 80−3 vs melt
62Enr
58Int
Personal re-engagement call needed · stop-out recovery program
CertificateMelt Target: —Current ITE: 42Census Target: 65−23 to goal
17Enr
25Int
−23
Fastest-growing pipeline — aligns with military & adult learner mission
Special / TransientMelt Target: —Current ITE: 40Census Target: 30+10 over goal
28Enr
12Int
TOTAL ITE (Enrolled + Intent to Enroll)1,153814 Enrolled · 339 Intent to Enroll
Aviation Track
268
23.2% of 1,153 total ITE All Aviation Programs
Military Affiliated
76
6.6% of 1,153 total ITE Purple Heart University pipeline
FAFSA on File
810
70.3% of 1,153 total ITE 343 ITE students without FAFSA
In-State (NC)
881
76.4% of 1,153 total ITE NC Promise tuition applies
Out-of-State
272
23.6% of 1,153 total ITE VA · MD · GA · TX · NJ lead
First Time Freshman (FTF) — Average GPA
3.40
/ 4.0 scale
ITE Total
549
With GPA
547
Range
1.49 – 4.91
Strong academic profile among committed freshmen · 547 of 549 with HS GPA · Source: app_funnel_7_20_26
Transfer — Average Transfer GPA
2.81
/ 4.0 scale
ITE Total
306
With Transfer GPA
306
GPA Range
0.00 – 4.00
100% coverage · 306 of 306 transfers have a transfer GPA on file · Transfer-GPA field not in 7.1 export — values retained from 6.29 · Source: App-Transfer GPA · app_funnel_6_29_26
ITE Gender Breakdown — 1,075 Total
Source: General-Gender · retained from 6.29 (gender field not in 7.1 export)
Overall ITE1,075 students
♀Female 548 (51.0%)
♂Male 527 (49.0%)
Enrolled (686)
F 325
M 361
Intent to Enroll (389)
F 223
M 166
By Student Type
Type
Total
♀ Female
F%
♂ Male
M%
Freshman
531
227
42.7%
304
57.3%
Transfer
306
170
55.6%
136
44.4%
Readmit
105
66
62.9%
39
37.1%
High School
62
33
53.2%
29
46.8%
Certificate
36
29
80.6%
7
19.4%
Special / Transient
35
23
65.7%
12
34.3%
Total ITE
1,075
548
51.0%
527
49.0%
Female-majority overall (51.0%) with notable variation by type: Freshman is male-dominant (57.2% M) while Transfer, Readmit, Certificate, and Special are female-dominant. Certificate shows the largest gender skew at 80.6% Female.
NSO Registration — by Pipeline (as of 7.20.26 · 8:00 AM CT)
406 students registered for New Student Orientation as of July 20, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT. Banner Orientation Reg Status = Y, excluding 35 registrants who later declined or cancelled (Lost). Certificate students enroll through alternate processes.
NSO RegisteredGap to NSO GoalGoals reflect Fall 2026 pipeline targets
Freshman (First Time)260 registeredGoal: 450−190 to goal
Housing Deposits — 2026–27 Academic Year (as of 7.19.26)
1,093 total deposits. New FTF at 368. Continuing residents at 683 reflect strong retention across all classifications.
All Housing Deposits1,093 total
410New
683Continuing
New Students (410)
368
New FTF Freshman
42
New Transfer / Upper Year
Continuing (683)
453
Upper Year Resident
225
Continuing Freshman Resident
5
Continuing Graduate
Residence Hall Summary Report — Fall 2026 (as of 7.19.26)
1,093 of 1,221 total bed spaces reserved across 5 residence halls — an overall occupancy of 89.5%. All current assignments carry an Entry Status of "Reserved." New Residence Hall (98.0%), Viking Tower (90.0%), and Viking Village (89.0%) are effectively full, while Bias Hall (64.4% of 104) holds the only meaningful open capacity for late housing selection. Source: Fall_2026_Assignments (as of 7.19.26).
Occupancy by Residence Hall — Reserved ÷ Capacity
Viking Village299 / 336 spaces · 89.0%
299
University Towers176 / 200 spaces · 88.0%
176
Viking Tower207 / 230 spaces · 90.0%
207
Bias Hall67 / 104 spaces · 64.4%
67
New Residence Hall344 / 351 spaces · 98.0%
344
Reservations by Hall & Enrollment Class · with Capacity
Residence Hall
New FTF
Cont. Freshman
New Upper
Cont. Upper
Graduate
Pending
Reserved
Capacity
Occupancy
Viking Village
9
56
6
225
3
–
299
336
89.0%
University Towers
2
18
1
155
–
–
176
200
88.0%
Viking Tower
18
138
23
27
1
–
207
230
90.0%
Bias Hall
59
4
1
2
1
–
67
104
64.4%
New Residence Hall
280
9
11
44
–
–
344
351
98.0%
All Halls
368
225
42
453
5
–
1,093
1,221
89.5%
Continuing Upper Year Residents (453) make up the majority of current assignments. New Residence Hall serves as the designated First-Time Freshman building — 280 of the 368 assigned New FTF reside there. With only 128 bed spaces still open campus-wide (1,221 capacity − 1,093 reserved), capacity is tightening sharply: New Residence Hall has just 7 beds left and Bias Hall (37 open) now holds the largest remaining runway. Class breakdown reflects 1,093 total assignments — all 1,093 matched to the housing roster.
ECSU has grown its fall enrollment for five consecutive years — from 2,054 to 2,360 (+14.9%). Growth is driven by two engines: continuing student retention and new student intake. Each circle below shows the institutional retention rate — the share of the prior fall's students who returned as continuing students.
Fall 2021
64.1%
Inst. Ret.
2,054
Cont: 1,284 | New: 814
Fall 2022
63.1%
Inst. Ret.
2,149
Cont: 1,296 | New: 853
Fall 2023
58.9%
Inst. Ret.
2,166
Cont: 1,266 | New: 900
Fall 2024
58.1%
Inst. Ret.
2,261
Cont: 1,258 | New: 1,003
Fall 2025
62.9%
Inst. Ret.
2,360
Cont: 1,423 | New: 937
Institutional Retention Rate = Continuing Students ÷ Prior Fall Total | 5-Year Avg: 61.4% | NFT First-Year Retention (IPEDS): 76.0% avg
Institutional Retention Rate — 5-Year Trend
Retention Rate = Continuing Students ÷ Prior Fall Total. The dip in 2023–24 has recovered strongly in F25.
F20→F21
64.1%
1,284
F21→F22
63.1%
1,296
F22→F23
58.9%
1,266
F23→F24
58.1%
1,258
F24→F25
62.9% ★
1,423
5-Year Avg Retention61.4%
F26 Projected Continuing (61.4% × 2,360)~1,449
★ Strongest rate since F20→F21 — a positive signal for Fall 2026
Fall 2026 New Student Demand — Target: 2,400 Enrollment
2,400 target − 1,449 projected continuing = 951 new students needed. ~118-student buffer built in.
Pipeline
F25 Actual
F26 Target
Trend
New First Time (FTF)
362
450
↑ Sprint
Transfer
238
250
↑ +5yr
High School (Dual Enroll)
140
155
↑ Growing
Certificate
56
65
↑ Fastest
Continuing (Readmit)
70
80
↓ Arrest
New Graduate
42
45
→ Stable
Special / Transient
29
24
↓ Reclassifying
Total New Students
937
1,069
Projected Total Enrollment
2,360
~2,532
+118 buffer
Sprint's 600 FTF target = 63% of new student need. Transfer + HS = 38% of remaining intake. Certificate fastest-growing pipeline.
Retention Sensitivity — New Student Need by Scenario
5-Year Retention Range: 58.1%–64.1%
Scenario
Rate
Proj. Continuing
New Needed (2,360)
New Needed (2,400)
New Needed (2,450)
Low — F24 worst case
58.1%
1,370
990
1,030
1,080
Average — 5-Year Plan ★
61.4%
1,449
911
951
1,001
Recent — F25 rate
62.9%
1,485
875
915
965
High — F21 best case
64.1%
1,513
847
887
937
★ Planning benchmark. Institutional Retention Rate = Continuing Students ÷ Prior Fall Total. NFT first-year retention (76.0% IPEDS avg) is a separate program metric already counted within the F25 Continuing total of 1,423.
3,016 Admitted · No Response · 532 Declined/Cancelled
The 600-student sprint goal has been exceeded with 1,153 ITE (+553 over goal). With the June 5 deadline reached, the 3,016 admitted students with no response represent the immediate outreach target and the foundation for post-sprint enrollment (a further 532 declined or cancelled and are excluded). The segments below are the highest-ROI calling priorities.
Aviation Pipeline
Admitted581
ITE Total268 (23.2% of all ITE)
Enrolled (has schedule)211 (78.7%)
Intent to Enroll57 (21.3%)
Freshman · Transfer · Readmit180 · 78 · 10
Flight Ed Campus (top track)118
Avg HS GPA3.55 (223 of 268)
No Response313
ECSU's #1 program — 1 in 4 ITE students is aviation. 7 tracks: Flight Ed, Prof. Aeronautics, Aviation Mgmt (campus + online). 46.1% of admitted aviation students have committed.
Military Affiliated
Admitted227
ITE Total76
Enrolled (has schedule)54 (23.8%)
Intent to Enroll22
No Response151
Current Yield Rate33.5%
Avg HS GPA3.48 (55 of 76)
Purple Heart University designation. Converting at 33.5% yield rate (76 of 227 admitted). 151 admitted with no response remain.
Adult Learners (Age 25+)
Admitted473
ITE Total (25+)335 (29.1% of ITE)
Enrolled (has schedule)182 (54.3%)
Intent to Enroll153
NSO Registered88 (26.3%)
FAFSA on File190 (56.7%)
Avg Age · Max Age39.6 · 80
Top types: Transfer (171) · Readmit (81) · Certificate (40) · Special (27) · Freshman (16).
46% are intent-only — FAFSA completion now at 56.7%. Prioritize personal outreach, flexible scheduling, and aid counseling.
FAFSA-Filed, No Response
Admitted w/ FAFSA2,243
Already Committed (est.)810
FAFSA + No Response1,433 students
Conversion Multiplier3–4× vs non-FAFSA
F25 FAFSA+Enrolled Rate75% of enrolled
Financial intent is demonstrated. FAFSA completion strongly predicts enrollment. These students need a final personalized nudge before June 5.
Top 10 Majors — No-Response Pool (3,016 students · excludes 532 declined/cancelled)
2,195 students are pre-registered for Fall 2026 — 1,447 continuing and 748 new — and 1,798 (81.9%) have a FAFSA on file. Separately, 306 enrollment-eligible students have not yet registered and represent the immediate registration-completion target.
Total Pre-Registered
2,195
Continuing + New · Fall 2026
Continuing
1,447
65.9% of pre-registered
New
748
34.1% of pre-registered
FAFSA on File
1,798
81.9% of pre-registered students
FAFSA Coverage — Pre-Registered (as of July 17, 2026)
Share of pre-registered students with a FAFSA (ISIR) on file. Continuing and new students track closely at ~77%.
Continuing1,204 / 1,447 · 83.2%
1,204
New594 / 748 · 79.4%
594
Overall FAFSA coverage1,798 · 81.9%
New Pre-Registered — by Student Type
748 new students pre-registered. New First-Time Freshmen lead the new-student pipeline.
New First Time
385
385
Transfer
189
189
High School
49
49
Returning
55
55
Certificate
29
29
New Graduate
32
32
Special
9
9
Not Yet Registered — Completion Target (306 students)
306 enrollment-eligible students have not yet registered for Fall 2026 — the top registration-outreach priority. Continuing students (184) are the largest group; 73 are High School (dual-enrollment). By residency: 200 in-state · 106 out-of-state.
Continuing
184
184
High School
73
73
Certificate
10
10
Returning
12
12
Special
9
9
Transfer
9
9
New First Time
6
6
Source: Pre-Registration Update (Not-Reg_07072026) · as of July 7, 2026.
Financial aid packaging is a critical yield lever — students who receive an award package are significantly more likely to enroll. This analysis covers 760 Fall ITE students tracked for packaging status as of June 26, 2026. The full Fall ITE population is the primary sprint focus. Note: High School dual enrollment and Certificate students do not use standard FAFSA-based aid packaging.
Fall ITE Students Packaged
523
68.8% of 760 Fall ITE students have a financial aid award
Aid award issued · retention indicator
Fall ITE Students NOT Packaged
237
31.2% of Fall ITE students have no aid award yet · melt risk
Action required before June 5 deadline
FAFSA on File, Not Yet Packaged
64
Financial Aid has the FAFSA — packaging can happen immediately
Highest-priority finaid queue
No FAFSA & Not Packaged
173
No FAFSA + no award — requires student outreach to file
FAFSA completion campaign needed
Financial Aid Packaging Rate — by Student Type (Fall ITE)
Each row shows Packaged ÷ Total Fall ITE of that type — i.e., committed students with a financial aid award issued ÷ all committed (ITE) students of that type. Example: Freshman 354 / 420 = 354 packaged out of 420 committed (84.3%). High School and Certificate students are ineligible for standard FAFSA packaging.
Student Type
Packaging Rate (Packaged ÷ Total ITE)
Packaged / Total
Freshman
86.3%
378 / 438
Transfer
63.6%
126 / 198
Readmit
37.0%
17 / 46
Certificate
—
1 / 18
High School
—
0 / 51
Overall Fall ITE Packaging Rate68.8%
Target (pre-June 5 deadline)100% of FAFSA-eligible
Packaging by Commitment Status (Fall ITE)
Enrolled students are packaged at a higher rate (76.6%) than Intent students (57.3%). Intent students especially need aid confirmation to prevent melt before the Fall term.
Enrolled (has class schedule)453 total
347Packaged
106Not Packaged
✓ 76.6% packaged · 106 enrolled students still need award
Intent to Enroll307 total
176Packaged
131Not Packaged
▸ 42.7% not yet packaged — melt risk for Fall term
Fall ITE FAFSA Coverage
760 Total
587 FAFSA on File (77.2%)
173 No FAFSA
77.2% of Fall ITE students have a FAFSA (ISIR) on file per the packaging file, indicating strong FAFSA completion among committed students.
Financial Aid Packaging Summary — Fall ITE by Student Type
Data as of June 26, 2026
Student Type
Total ITE
FAFSA on File
Packaged (Aid Award)
Packaging Rate
NOT Packaged
Action Priority
Freshman
438
399
378
86.3%
60
Low · Packaging Strong
Transfer
198
150
126
63.6%
72
High · 45% Unpackaged
Readmit
46
32
17
37.0%
29
Urgent · Majority Unpackaged
High School (Dual Enroll)
51
0
0
N/A
51
Ineligible — Alt Process
Certificate
18
3
1
N/A
17
Ineligible — Alt Process
Special / Other
9
3
1
11.1%
8
Review Eligibility
Total Fall ITE
760
587
523
68.8%
237
Source: FA26_ITE_FASFA_Packaging_06_26_26.xlsx · Data as of June 26, 2026. "FAFSA on File" reflects ISIR received per the Financial Aid packaging file (may differ slightly from the admissions funnel FAFSA flag).
"Packaged" = financial aid award issued in Banner. High School dual enrollment and Certificate students use alternate aid processes; their zero packaging rate is expected and does not reflect a gap.
Key alert: 64 Fall ITE students have a FAFSA on file but no aid package — these are the highest-priority cases for the Financial Aid office.
64
FAFSA Filed — Not Yet Packaged (Highest Priority)
These Fall ITE students have a FAFSA on file but have not received an aid award. The Financial Aid office can package these immediately. Every day of delay increases melt risk. Pull the list and push awards before June 5.
173
No FAFSA & No Package — FAFSA Completion Campaign
These students have no FAFSA on file and no aid award. A targeted text/email campaign is needed immediately with a direct link to fafsa.gov, a deadline reminder, and a personal counselor contact. Many are intent-only and at high melt risk.
72
Transfer Students Not Packaged
Transfer students have the second-largest packaging gap (63.6% rate vs 86.3% for Freshmen). Of 198 Transfer Fall ITE, 150 have FAFSA on file but only 126 are packaged — 24 have FAFSA but no award. Transfer students also carry the highest melt risk in the ITE pool.
37.0%
Readmit Packaging Rate — Most Critical Gap
Only 17 of 46 Readmit Fall ITE students are packaged (37.0%). These returning students may have complex aid situations, prior balances, or holds. Each case likely requires a personal outreach call, not just a text. Financial Aid should assign dedicated counselors for this cohort.